
Set 10281
Trading 41% under its $50 retail price even after retiring — the market has had its say.
LEGO 10281 Bonsai Tree is worth about $29.50 sealed right now, based on 7 recent sealed sales. That's 41% below its $49.99 retail price. It came out in 2021 with 878 pieces. It's retired. Over the last 87 days its typical asking price has risen 5%, from $31.50 to $32.95. We last checked it 3 days ago.
33 listings behind this — one of the better-evidenced values on the site.
If you bought it to resell
For a 30% return at your costs. Change them and every figure on the site follows.
What it actually sold for
Sellers are asking 12% more than buyers actually paid. The $33 figure above is a ceiling; this is the floor to negotiate toward.
Completed BrickLink transactions over the last six months. Real sales, not asking prices.
eBay links are affiliate links — if you buy after clicking, we earn a small commission at no cost to you, and that is what pays for the site. BrickLink has no such programme, so those are plain links. Neither changes what we show or what we say about it.
How to read this. The value is the median of live sealed listings, after removing instructions, empty boxes, used sets, multi-set lots and implausible outliers. Real sale prices usually land below asking, so the buy-below figure is deliberately the conservative end of the range.
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▲ 140% vs retailRetired10289 · 2021Bird of ParadiseBotanicals · 1,173 pcs$24040 listings · retail $100Proven performer
▼ 8% vs retailRetired40460 · 2021RosesBotanicals · 120 pcs$1428 listings · retail $15Too expensive
▼ 47% vs retail10309 · 2022SucculentsBotanicals · 771 pcs$2737 listings · retail $50Not at retail