Polar Bear & Gift Pack

Name: LEGO 40494 Polar Bear & Gift Pack
SKU: 40494

Seasonal · Christmas · 2021

Sealed market value

$20.95

Median asking price across 31 live sealed listings. Sellers' asking prices, not confirmed sales — treat it as a ceiling.

Up 110% on retail since retiring. A proper hold.

What it actually sold for

Sealed

$16

2 sold in six months · $11–$20

Used

$10

4 sold in six months

Sellers are asking 35% more than buyers actually paid. The $21 figure above is a ceiling; this is the floor to negotiate toward.

Completed BrickLink transactions over the last six months. Real sales, not asking prices.

Confidence: high
Listings: 31
Spread: $2.01
Checked: yesterday

Should you buy it?

Proven performer

Up 110% on its $10 retail price since retiring. Pay under $3 to still make a margin reselling.

Pay no more than $3

How that number is worked out

Sells sealed for$21

Marketplace fees · 15.25%−$3

Payment processing · 2.9% + $0.30−$1

Shipping · est. from 142 pieces−$9

Reaches you$8

Pay no more than$6

For a 30% return at your costs. Change them and every figure on the site follows.

See listings on eBay

Pieces: 142
Minifigs: —
Released: 2021
Per piece: $0.148
Retail price: $9.99

▲ 110% above its $9.99 retail price

Value history

Sep 10$2131 listings

17 observations · median asking · rechecked 8× daily

How to read this. The value is the median of live sealed listings, after removing instructions, empty boxes, used sets, multi-set lots and implausible outliers. Real sale prices usually land below asking, so the buy-below figure is deliberately the conservative end of the range.